very good fit to late time series, but not early
@@ -36,9 +36,9 @@ def make_pars():
# Events
pars['quarantine'] = 15 # Day on which quarantine took effect
- pars['quarantine_eff'] = 0.1 # Change in transmissibility due to quarantine, estimated
+ pars['quarantine_eff'] = 0.05 # Change in transmissibility due to quarantine, estimated
pars['testing_change'] = 22 # Day that testing protocol changed, from https://hopkinsidd.github.io/nCoV-Sandbox/Diamond-Princess.html
- pars['testing_symptoms'] = 0.3 # Relative change in symptomatic testing after the protocol change
+ pars['testing_symptoms'] = 0.1 # Relative change in symptomatic testing after the protocol change
return pars
